MGPraxis6,400 papers identified by name

Machine learning return prediction in equities

106 papers on machine learning return prediction in equities as a systematic trading strategy. Machine learning return prediction papers on single stocks and equity indices: 106 of the 153 in machine learning return prediction. 80 name a method, most often neural networks (61). The most cited is Machine Learning vs. Economic Restrictions: Evidence from Stock Return Predictability (2023).

Papers1062006–2026
Share of the family69 %106 of 153

Papers on machine learning return prediction in equities

106 papersMost citedNewest
cited bymethod
Machine Learning vs. Economic Restrictions: Evidence from Stock Return Predictability by Avramov et al.228Neural networks2023
BERT-based Financial Sentiment Index and LSTM-based Stock Return Predictability by Hiew et al.40Language models +12022
Option Return Predictability with Machine Learning and Big Data by Bali et al.202021
Intraday Market Predictability: A Machine Learning Approach by Huddleston et al.15Linear factor models2021
Assessing Look-Ahead Bias in Stock Return Predictions Generated By GPT Sentiment Analysis by Glasserman and Lin13Language models2023
Empirical Asset Pricing with Missing Data by Beckmeyer and Wiedemann132022
Asset Pricing: Time-Series Predictability by Rapach and Zhou112021
The Virtue of Complexity in Return Prediction by Kelly et al.112021
A Comparison of Different Hybrid ARIMA - Neural Network Models for Stock Index Return Forecasting and Trading Strategy by Kumar and Thenmozhi8Classical time series +12007
Intraday Market Return Predictability Culled from the Factor Zoo by Aleti et al.62023
The Anatomy of Machine Learning-Based Portfolio Performance by Coulombe et al.62023
Hybrid ARFIMA Wavelet Artificial Neural Network Model for DJIA Index Forecasting by Boubaker et al.6Neural networks2020
Trader-Company Method: A Metaheuristic for Interpretable Stock Price Prediction by Ito et al.62020
Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Stock Return Forecasting: New Machine Learning Methods by Rapach and Zhou62019
Accounting vs Market Information: What Matters More for Stock Return Predictability? by Cakici and Zaremba52023
Divide and Conquer: Financial Ratios and Industry Returns Predictability by Bianchi and McAlinn5Linear factor models2018
What Does ChatGPT Make of Historical Stock Returns? Extrapolation and Miscalibration in LLM Stock Return Forecasts by Chen et al.4Language models2024
Machine-Learning in the Chinese Stock Market by Leippold et al.42021
A Tweet-based Dataset for Company-Level Stock Return Prediction by Sowinska and Madhyastha42020
Visual Attention Model for Cross-sectional Stock Return Prediction and End-to-End Multimodal Market Representation Learning by Zhao et al.4Neural networks2019
Exploiting Supply Chain Interdependencies for Stock Return Prediction: A Full-State Graph Convolutional LSTM by Liu3Neural networks2025
Intraday Stock Predictability Everywhere by Liu and Stentoft2Linear factor models2023
Is machine learning a necessity? A regression-based approach for stock return prediction by Cheng et al.22023
Predicting Financial Market Trends using Time Series Analysis and Natural Language Processing by Asgarov2Neural networks2023
Can a Machine Learn from Behavioral Biases? Evidence from Stock Return Predictability of Deep Learning Models by Byun et al.2Neural networks2022
Quantitative Stock Investment by Routing Uncertainty-Aware Trading Experts: A Multi-Task Learning Approach by Sun et al.2Neural networks2022
RVRAE: A Dynamic Factor Model Based on Variational Recurrent Autoencoder for Stock Returns Prediction by Wang and Guo1Bayesian +22024
Quantum-Enhanced Forecasting: Leveraging Quantum Gramian Angular Field and CNNs for Stock Return Predictions by Xu et al.1Neural networks2023
Application of Machine Learning to Short-Term Equity Return Prediction by Yan et al.12006
(Mis)Understanding Benign Overfitting in Equity Return Prediction by Guo et al.02026
A Bipartite Graph Approach to U.S.-China Cross-Market Return Forecasting by Liu et al.02026
A Multi-Horizon Machine Learning Framework for Stock Prediction in Emerging Market: Evidence from Thailand by Sriharee0Tree ensembles2026
Adaptive Financial Transformer with Regime-Gated Attention for Stock Return Prediction by Sarkar0Neural networks2026
Autonomous Market Intelligence: Agentic AI Nowcasting Predicts Stock Returns by Chen and Pu0Language models +12026
Causal Momentum: Information Channel Alignment in Network-Based Cross-Sectional Stock Prediction by Shah0Tree ensembles +12026
Cross-Sectional Return Prediction Using Machine Learning: A Practitioner Pipeline by Lama0Tree ensembles +12026
Cross-Stock Predictability via LLM-Augmented Semantic Networks by Huang et al.0Language models2026
Deep learning-based analysis of investor sentiment and stock return prediction: an experimental finance perspective by Zheng et al.0Language models +12026
Dependence-Informed Sparse Neural Architecture for Stock Return Prediction by Lin et al.0Neural networks2026
DistillSem: LLM-Distilled Financial Headline Semantics for Cross-Sectional Return Prediction by Guo0Language models2026
Does CNN-Based Feature Extraction Improve High-Frequency Return Prediction? Evidence from the CSI 300 Index by Fan and Wang0Neural networks2026
Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning: Evidence from Indian Equity Markets by Sharma0Tree ensembles +22026
Enhanced Prediction of Stock Returns: Optimizing Variable Selection in Machine Learning by Huo et al.02026
Feature Scope and Cross-Sectional Return Prediction: Evidence from US Large-Cap Equities by Rocchi0Linear factor models2026
Feature-enriched deep learning approach for stock market return forecasting using time-variant Hurst exponent and feature selection by Kumbure et al.0Neural networks2026
From Index to Equity: Pre-Training Transformers for Stock Return Prediction by Coolsaet et al.0Tree ensembles +12026
From Pixels to Signals: Hierarchical Vision Transformers for Return Prediction by Bøjstrup et al.0Neural networks2026
Getting the Target Right in Return Prediction by Cakici and Zaremba02026
Google Trends as Alternative Data: A Systematic Review with Implications for the Indian Equity Markets by Yeware and Kanade0Neural networks2026
Hybrid Quantum FT-Transformer for Stock Return Prediction: Evidence from Chinese Rare Earth Firms by Zhu et al.0Neural networks2026
Incorporating Price Limits into Deep Learning for Stock Return Prediction in the Chinese A-Share Market by Fan and Wang0Neural networks2026
Innovation Theater: Frontier Narrative Adoption, Investment Decoupling, and Cross-sectional Return Predictability by Tang et al.02026
Interpretable Factor Decomposition for Decision Intelligence in Large-Scale Financial Markets: Evidence from China's A-Share Market by Han et al.0Tree ensembles +12026
Machine Learning for Cross-Sectional Return Prediction: A Comparative Study of US and Indian Equities by Khatu0Tree ensembles +12026
Machine Learning, Return Predictability, and Implementable Alpha on the Ghana Stock Exchange by Rahman et al.0Classical time series2026
Machine Learning-Based Stock Return Prediction for NEPSE: Do Global Feature Sets Outperform Traditional Technical Indicators in an Emerging, Illiquid Frontier Market? An Independent Study Submitted in Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Bachelor of Management Studies (BMS) by Basnet0Tree ensembles2026
Market Prices Encode Future Profitability Beyond Standard Accounting Signals by Zhang0Tree ensembles +22026
Quantum Temporal Convolutional Neural Networks for Cross-Sectional Equity Return Prediction: A Comparative Benchmark Study by Chen et al.0Neural networks2026
Quantum vs. Classical Machine Learning: A Benchmark Study for Financial Prediction by Ahmad et al.0Classical time series +12026
Regime Conditioning Alters Risk, Not Predictability in Short-Horizon U.S. Equity ETF Models by Somani0Tree ensembles2026
Scaling State-Space Models: A Deep Learning Approach to Firm-level Return Forecasting by Liu and Zivot0State-space models +22026
Spatiotemporal Signals in Residuals: A Two-Stage Boosting Graph Neural Network for Stock Return Prediction by Liu et al.0Tree ensembles +22026
Stock Return Prediction Guided by a Revised Random Walk Hypothesis: Adaptive Information Smoothing and Signed Correlation-Aware TimeMixing by Seo and Yang0Neural networks2026
Symbolic Regime Laws: Automated Discovery of Time-Varying Alpha Factor Equations via Symbolic Regression by Merlini0Linear factor models2026
The Geometry of Alpha Manifold Learning, Topological Data Analysis, and Non-Linear Factor Structures in Global Equity Markets by Kholia0State-space models +22026
Understanding the Convolutional Neural Network's Stock Return Predictability by Guan et al.0Neural networks2026
Visualizing Income Statements by Garfinkel et al.0Neural networks2026
Volatility Forecasting and Return Prediction under Market Regimes: Evidence from High-Frequency Chinese Equity Data by Fang and Ślepaczuk0Classical time series +12026
Why Does Stock Return Predictability Disappear? Evidence from Information Structure by Wang et al.02026
Bay Street Meets Machine Learning: Predicting Stock Risk Premium by Attig and Attig0Tree ensembles +12025
Deep Learning Enhanced Multi-Day Turnover Quantitative Trading Algorithm for Chinese A-Share Market by Du0Neural networks2025
Integration of Wavelet Transform Convolution and Channel Attention with LSTM for Stock Price Prediction based Portfolio Allocation by Guo0Neural networks2025
Learning Universal Multi-level Market Irrationality Factors to Improve Stock Return Forecasting by Yang et al.0Linear factor models +12025
Multi-Agent Stock Prediction Systems: Machine Learning Models, Simulations, and Real-Time Trading Strategies by Dave et al.0Neural networks2025
Structured Event Representation and Stock Return Predictability by Li et al.0Language models +12025
The Cross-Section of Stock Returns: Rank-Based, Linear, and Non-Linear Models (slides) by Molinaro0Tree ensembles +22025
Unleashing Expert Opinion from Social Media for Stock Prediction by Zhou et al.0Neural networks2025
When Reasoning Fails: Evaluating 'Thinking' LLMs for Stock Prediction by Sodha0State-space models +22025
Analysts' Conditional Biases and the Cross Section of Corporate Bond Returns by Yang and Liu02024
Neuroevolution Neural Architecture Search for Evolving RNNs in Stock Return Prediction and Portfolio Trading by Lyu et al.0Neural networks2024
StockGPT: A GenAI Model for Stock Prediction and Trading by Mai0Classical time series +22024
Trading Volume Alpha by Goyenko et al.02024
Transforming Investment Strategies and Strategic Decision-Making: Unveiling a Novel Methodology for Enhanced Performance and Risk Management in Financial Markets by Tian et al.0Neural networks2024
Choices Matter When Training Machine Learning Models For Return Prediction by Howard02023
Decoding the Unique Price Behavior in the Japanese Stock Market with Convolutional Neural Networks by Okada et al.0Neural networks2023
Intraday Returns Forecasting Using Machine Learning: Evidence from the Brazilian Stock Market by Arismendi-Zambrano et al.02023
Multi-Measures Stock Return Prediction Using Neural Network Models by Wang0Linear factor models +12023
Can Deep Neural Networks Outperform Fama-MacBeth Regression and Other Supervised Learning Approaches in Stock Returns Prediction With Asset-Pricing Factors? by Teng and Li0Linear factor models +12022
Environmental Sustainability and Stock Returns * by Brown et al.0Neural networks2022
Machine Forecast Disagreement and Equity Returns by Bali et al.0Linear factor models2022
Network of Economic Sectors and Return Prediction by CNN-LSTM by Phuensane and Boonpong0Neural networks2022
Robust Monitoring Machine: A Machine Learning Solution for Out-of-Sample R2-Hacking in Return Predictability Monitoring by Yae and Luo02022
The Connectedness of Business Sectors and Return Predictions by a Hybrid Machine Learning Method by Boonpong and Phuensane0Classical time series +12022
Feature Learning for Stock Price Prediction Shows a Significant Role of Analyst Rating by Singh and Khushi02021
The Macroeconomy and the Cross-Section of International Equity Index Returns: A Machine Learning Approach by Popescu0Neural networks2019
Anomalous Returns in a Neural Network Equity-Ranking Predictor by Satinover and Sornette0Neural networks2008
A Hybrid LSTM-XGBoost Framework for Multi-Horizon Stock Return Prediction Across Diversified Equity Portfolios by Mostafa et al.Tree ensembles +12026
ResNLS: An Improved Model for Stock Price Forecasting by Jia et al.Neural networks2026
The cross-sectional stock return predictions via quantum neural network and tensor network by Kobayashi et al.Neural networks2024
AlphaEvolve: A Learning Framework to Discover Novel Alphas in Quantitative Investment by Cui et al.2021
Multi-Horizon Equity Returns Predictability via Machine LearningTree ensembles +12021
Time-varying neural network for stock return prediction by Wong et al.Neural networks2021
Predicting prices of S&P500 index using classical methods and recurrent neural networksNeural networks2020
A Robust Transferable Deep Learning Framework for Cross-sectional Investment Strategy by Nakagawa et al.Neural networks2019
Directional Predictability of Daily Stock ReturnsNeural networks2018
Empirical Asset Pricing via Machine Learning by Gu et al.Tree ensembles +22018

Papers on machine learning return prediction in equities from other families

15 papers
filed under
From Financial Sentiment Classification to Return Predictability: A QLoRA Benchmark of Large Language Models by LuoNews sentiment and text signals2026
Large Language Models for Asset Pricing: Learning from Earnings Calls by Zhang and ZhouNews sentiment and text signals2026
Supply Chain Propagation of Textual Signals: LLM Embeddings and Cross-Sectional Return Predictability by YılkıNews sentiment and text signals2026
Can ChatGPT Forecast Stock Price Movements? Return Predictability and Large Language Models by Lopez-Lira and TangNews sentiment and text signals2025
Exploring the Synergy of Quantitative Factors and Newsflow Representations from Large Language Models for Stock Return Prediction by Guo and HauptmannNews sentiment and text signals2025
Return Prediction for Mean-Variance Portfolio Selection: How Decision-Focused Learning Shapes Forecasting Models by Lee et al.Portfolio optimization2025
TradingGroup: A Multi-Agent Trading System with Self-Reflection and Data-Synthesis by Tian et al.News sentiment and text signals2025
Fine-Tuning Large Language Models for Stock Return Prediction Using Newsflow by Guo and HauptmannNews sentiment and text signals2024
FinReport: Explainable Stock Earnings Forecasting via News Factor Analyzing Model by Li et al.News sentiment and text signals2024
Forecasting Option Returns with News by Cao et al.Options trading strategies2024
Forecasting Tech Sector Market Downturns based on Macroeconomic Indicators by MalekiMacro signals and regime strategies2024
Large Language Models and Return Prediction in China by Tan et al.News sentiment and text signals2024
Integrating Stock Features and Global Information via Large Language Models for Enhanced Stock Return Prediction by Ding et al.News sentiment and text signals2023
Financial News Sentiment Learned by BERT: A Strict Out-of-Sample Study by SalbrechterNews sentiment and text signals2022
Textual Sentiment, Option Characteristics, and Stock Return PredictabilityNews sentiment and text signals2018
Papers tagged from title and abstract by MarketGraphs Praxis. Citation counts from OpenAlex.
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