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Portfolio Optimization under Fast and Slow Latent Mean-Reverting and Momentum Drift

Dannin J. Eccles, Roger Lee·2026

“We show that the filtered estimate of the latent mean-reversion level is driven by the difference between fast and slow exponential moving average (EMA)-type processes of the trailing price history, yielding a Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)-type signal, along with a deterministic Volterra correction.”

StrategyPortfolio optimizationmomentum
InputsPrice and volume

Missing from abstract: benchmark, out-of-sample test, costs, multiple testing, universe

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The paper's neighbourhoodPortfolio optimization by year
■ equities■ multi-asset■ currencies■ volatility and options■ other assets20002005201092015202071214This paper2026■ equities■ multi-asset■ currencies■ volatility and options■ other assets20002005201092015202014This paper2026
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